Production forecasts across crops, regions and marketing years.
Demeter publishes production forecasts with weekly updates, calibrated uncertainty bands that evolve through the season, and a decade of forecast backtests.
Forecast Explorer
Weekly forecast path by marketing year. The shaded band indicates the error margin at each point in time.
Production forecasts
Latest published weekly print for each forecast, by marketing year.
Spain Almond Production
Live publication from 28 September 2026.
How forecasts are built
Forecasts are produced bottom-up from orchard-level data, observed growing conditions and independent checks before publication.
Build the orchard base
Map every orchard with location, area, age and production class, including historical footprint and in-season removals.
Model growing conditions
Combine orchard-level baselines with observed growing conditions, including the Demeter Growing Season Indices, and calibrate on historical outcomes.
Validate & publish
Validate the model with independent signals (including ground stations, crop health and partner inputs), assign a range, and publish point-in-time updates.
Forecast publication schedule
Latest and next weekly print for each forecast, with the current band and live status.
| Forecast | Latest print | Next print | Band | Status |
|---|
Forecast downloads & licensing
Forecast history is available in CSV on request. Licensing is required for institutional and third-party distribution use cases.
Historical forecast CSV · on request
Receive historical weekly forecast prints in CSV format for research and internal analysis.
Request forecast CSV →Platform access & licensing
Access live weekly forecast feeds and licensing terms for institutional workflows and third-party software.
Contact for terms →Demeter publishes indices and forecasts for reference and research purposes. It is not an authorised benchmark administrator under UK BMR, does not administer a regulated benchmark, and does not offer, recommend, or arrange financial products. The hedging workbench is for illustration; it produces no quotes or offers. Contracts are written by independent risk partners, with whom buyers contract directly.