Almond Season Index

Demeter Almond Season Index Update - California, Week 2

Demeter Research Team
Sep 28, 2026

This is the first publication for the 2027/28 crop. The index has reset to its seasonal baseline and does not continue the previous series. It adopts the updated DASI methodology noted in the final publication for the 2026/27 crop. California stands at 99.7 in week 2, 0.5% lower than the season's opening value of 100.2. Regional readings run from 99.1 in Southern San Joaquin to 100.4 in Northern San Joaquin. Among the larger counties, Solano and Yolo were 1.9 to 2.8% higher and Tulare was 1.7% lower.

The 2026/27 crop, now being marketed, is forecast at 2.694 billion pounds (range 2.602 to 2.785), 0.8% below the 2.715 billion pounds USDA NASS recorded for 2025. By the August report, 22.1% of the expected crop was shipped or committed, against a median of 26.3% and a range of 21.9% to 37.8% since 2000. Shipments are running at the normal pace for a crop this size, though 21% above the same point last year.

Headline publication is fortnightly except during the bloom period, when it is weekly.

# Composite regions - Week 2

RegionSeason start (15 Sep)Week 2% change
Northern San Joaquin100.1100.4+0.3%
Sacramento Valley100.0100.0+0.1%
Southern San Joaquin100.399.1−1.2%
All California100.299.7−0.5%

Baseline: 2000-2025 mean = 100.0

# County-level breakdown - Week 2

CountySeason start (15 Sep)Week 2% change
Solano98.6101.3+2.8%
Sacramento98.3101.1+2.8%
Contra Costa98.6101.0+2.5%
Alameda99.0100.9+2.0%
Yolo98.9100.8+1.9%
San Joaquin99.3100.8+1.5%
Calaveras99.2100.7+1.4%
San Luis Obispo98.5100.6+2.1%
Placer99.9100.5+0.7%
Merced100.6100.3−0.3%
Sutter100.1100.3+0.2%
Yuba100.4100.2−0.2%
Stanislaus100.1100.2+0.0%
San Diego99.4100.0+0.6%
Colusa99.399.9+0.7%
Glenn101.199.5−1.6%
Butte101.199.5−1.5%
Madera100.499.5−0.9%
Fresno100.499.2−1.2%
Lake99.299.2−0.0%
Tulare100.899.1−1.7%
Kings100.699.0−1.6%
Tehama100.799.0−1.7%
Kern99.998.8−1.1%
Shasta100.198.1−2.0%
Santa Barbara97.297.7+0.5%
Riverside97.696.1−1.6%

# Elsewhere

Iberia — Spain 94.8 and Portugal 92.9 in week 2. Spain's 2026/27 crop is forecast at 172.1 kt of kernel, 26% above 2025. Portugal's 2026/27 crop is forecast at 34.5 kt of kernel, 39% above 2025.

The Spain and Portugal forecasts are set out in full in the Spain almond production forecast 2026/27 and the Portugal almond production forecast 2026/27. The California forecast is in the 2026 California almond forecast.

Sales figures from the Almond Board of California position report for August, published 2026-09-12.

# Data and further reading

Published on Mondays at 12:00 London — fortnightly, and weekly across bloom.

Next publication: 12 October 2026.

More granular views of the index (county level, irrigation district, GSA and custom footprints) are available via the Demeter platform.

Subscribe to receive headline index publications by email here.

Get Demeter research and index updates

Choose to receive headline index publications, new research alerts and updates from Demeter

Talk to the Demeter team

Live feeds, granular decomposition, and licence for use as a contract reference, for institutional research or in 3P software.

Get in touch →