Almond Season Index

Demeter Almond Season Index Update - Iberia, Week 2

Demeter Research Team
Sep 28, 2026

This is the first publication of the Demeter Almond Season Index for Spain and Portugal.

Both indices run on the same basis as the California index — a daily reading against a 2000-2025 mean of 100 — and both cover irrigated orchards only.

# Spain

Spain stands at 94.8 in week 2, 1.1% higher than the season's opening value of 93.7. Regional readings run from 92.7 in Suroeste to 99.3 in Levante y Baleares.

The 2026/27 crop, now being marketed, is forecast at 172.1 kt of kernel (range 157.0 to 187.0), 26% above the 136.6 kt of kernel MAPA recorded for 2025. The forecast is set out in full in the Spain almond production forecast 2026/27, with the method and track record alongside it.

Headline publication is fortnightly except during the bloom period, when it is weekly.

# Regions - Week 2

RegionSeason start (15 Sep)Week 2% change
Levante y Baleares95.099.3+4.6%
Andalucía Oriental94.397.3+3.1%
La Mancha93.396.0+3.0%
Ebro Valley93.193.7+0.6%
Suroeste94.092.7−1.3%
All Spain93.794.8+1.2%

Baseline: 2000-2025 mean = 100.0

# Autonomous communities - Week 2

Autonomous communitySeason start (15 Sep)Week 2% change
Región de Murcia95.8101.5+5.9%
Comunidad Valenciana94.498.1+3.9%
País Vasco95.597.9+2.5%
Islas Baleares95.297.1+2.0%
Comunidad de Madrid93.396.2+3.1%
Castilla-La Mancha93.396.0+3.0%
La Rioja94.495.8+1.5%
Comunidad Foral de Navarra94.595.7+1.2%
Andalucía94.594.5+0.1%
Castilla y León94.194.4+0.3%
Aragón93.293.8+0.7%
Cataluña92.692.9+0.4%
Extremadura93.292.1−1.2%

Province-level data is available via the Demeter platform and MCP.

# Portugal

Portugal stands at 92.9 in week 2, 2.2% lower than the season's opening value of 95.1. Regional readings run from 92.9 in Alentejo to 94.0 in Trás-os-Montes.

The 2026/27 crop, now being marketed, is forecast at 34.5 kt of kernel (range 30.9 to 38.1), 39% above the 24.8 kt of kernel INE recorded for 2025. The forecast is set out in full in the Portugal almond production forecast 2026/27, with the method and track record alongside it.

# Regions - Week 2

RegionSeason start (15 Sep)Week 2% change
Trás-os-Montes96.094.0−2.1%
Beira Interior94.993.1−1.9%
Alentejo94.892.9−2.1%
All Portugal95.192.9−2.3%

Baseline: 2000-2025 mean = 100.0

# Districts - Week 2

DistrictSeason start (15 Sep)Week 2% change
Vila Real97.394.2−3.2%
Bragança95.693.8−1.9%
Coimbra98.793.7−5.0%
Braga97.993.7−4.3%
Castelo Branco95.093.5−1.5%
Guarda94.893.4−1.5%
Portalegre95.093.1−2.0%
Faro93.993.1−0.9%
Viseu96.193.1−3.2%
Évora95.292.9−2.4%
Beja95.092.7−2.4%
Santarém97.892.5−5.4%
Setúbal95.892.4−3.5%

The thirteen districts run from 92.4 in Setúbal to 94.2 in Vila Real.

Municipality-level data is available via the Demeter platform and MCP.

# Elsewhere

California stands at 99.7 in week 2. The 2026/27 crop is forecast at 2.694 billion pounds, 0.8% below 2025. By the August report, 22.1% of the expected crop was shipped or committed, against a median of 26.3% and a range of 21.9% to 37.8% since 2000. Shipments are running at the normal pace for a crop this size, though 21% above the same point last year. The California forecast is in the 2026 California almond forecast.

# Data and further reading

Published on Mondays at 12:00 London — fortnightly, and weekly across bloom.

Next publication: 12 October 2026.

More granular views of the index (district, municipality, province and custom footprints) are available via the Demeter platform.

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